Tropical disturbance may enter Gulf, add to local rain chances

WYFF News 4									SOURCE WYFF News 4

WYFF News 4 SOURCE WYFF News 4

The National Hurricane Center has issued a TROPICAL STORM WARNING for the Louisiana coast from Intracoastal City (Marsh Island) to the mouth of the Pearl River at the Louisiana-Mississippi state line. A tropical cyclone was reported likely to form early next week over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico as a result.

After a dry Tuesday, our attention may turn to the Gulf of Mexico where some models are hinting that a tropical depression or storm may develop in the next few days. Shear exceeds 50 knots in a west/east belt from the Gulf of Mexico across the Caribbean & across much of the Central Atlantic & will likely help - at least initially - to keep "93L" - heavily weighted to the east. Its maximum sustained winds are near 40 miles per hour with weakening expected to begin later in the day.

There's a high chance that a tropical wave now located over the western Caribbean Sea will develop into a storm early next week.

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"The broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms". Models typically have a tougher time getting a handle on a system's path until it gets a closed circulation. The hurricane center has no record of any storm forming that far to the east at this point in June. Movement is towards the west at 23mph...37km/h with maximum sustained winds of 40mph...65km/h. There is still a lot of uncertainty in the forecast track of this system: will it go west to Texas or north to Florida's panhandle?

A second area to watch, Invest 92, is a tropical wave way out in the Atlantic Ocean.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles, mainly northwest through northeast of the center.

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So, Tropical Storm Warnings are in place for the southern Windward Islands.

For immediate updates, call the Delta World Tire Weather Phone at 504-500-2888.

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